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30 - 50 million is my best guess
i can't see it do significantly less, due to japan
and i even can't see it do significantly more because nintendo is not huge with kids and teens anymore.

i think ninendo will aim for a high software output and big tie rito. so something like >10
cost to develop should be lower, too and the profits will come in. just not anywhere near as big as the wii / ds era