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GOWTLOZ on 27 July 2016
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Soundwave said:

If it can sell 15-20 million in Japan, it will get a ton of Japanese support and all Nintendo support concentrated on one platform plus probably Android apps and lots of indie games.

That's enough software support.

Nintendo is never going to win with the Western "dudebros" crowd, they are set with Sony or Microsoft and that's that, the only way they would get this audience's attention is with an 8 TFLOP machine, which would be the size of a PC and a power brick the size of the Wii U console with a $600 price point. 

They'd have to go to ridiculous extremes, they are not getting the GTA/Calladooty crowd, too late for that, the GameCube era basically decided that. Once MS decided they had nothing better to do than to waddle into another industry and just basically take up space like a fat soccer mom in an elevator, there wasn't room left for Nintendo to engage that same market. 

Nintendo maaaaybe had a window of oppurtunity if it was just the PS4 and XB1, but now with Neo/Scorpio clogging up the market, nope. This direction will work better for them at least this is something different and it can dominate the Japanese market and do OK in the West/Europe. 

I'd like to know what these dudebro audience is. Are they guys who wear caps and drink mountain dew? I don't quite get it as I've never been to the US.

Anyways this audience is definitely more hardcore and have better tastes than Android and iOS only gamers, and are more likely to spend money on buying games rather than downloading free apps and games and pirating paid apps. Nintendo's games probably wouldn't sell to the vast majority of gamers on NX if they are targetting the smartphone audience, who usually play free games and where games don't cost more than $10.

NX might do well but mostly due to the 3DS and Wii U audience buying it, something like 60 million units, which would be a lot, but it will probably sell more than that. But targetting the smartphone audience over console gamers is not a good idea and having Android games is not a system seller as most of them are crap and already available on smartphones that most people have.