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We still need games and price. Also, it seems your basing your prediction off console trends when you need to be looking at handheld. 3DS had an mediocre launch line-up and a number of droughts and the shoddy 3D did not make up for the $250 price. BotW alone already guarantees NX a better launch, unified library should prevent droughts, and if it is $250 then HD visuals on handheld and the ability to play on TV should have the value atleast meet the cost.