colonelstubbs said:
Louie said:
When we predict sales of a game we have to consider the size of the userbase the game is on.
All Metal Gear Solid games so far sold somewhere between 500k to 1 million units in Japan as far as I know. But the current situation is that all core games on the PS3 have seen weaker sales than their predecessors on PSX and PS2.
This causes retailers to be careful when they pre-order games. The Japanese PS3 install base is just not big enough to take any risks for them. If the game sells out during the first week they will order more copies, though.
The same goes for America: Pre-orders might be lower than some people thought but honestly, what did you guys expect? 1 million first week on a 5 million install base?
Metal Gear Solid was always a game that sold best in Europe, which is where we should expect it to sell best again this time. Edit: I think we are talking about retail pre-Orders here, aren´t we? TheSource always talks about retail pre-orders in his articles. |
It doesnt matter if the userbase is less than 4 million. it doesnt matter if people havent bought previous installments. Ths is know as THE game to have for the PS3, and a LOT of people will buy it. Its the first big PS3 exclusive that everybody wants, whether they have a wii or xbox. It will sell big amounts. Dont discount 5 million WW lifetime |
==> it is right that looking at past sales is never the best way to predict the present sales.
What we have RIGHT NOW (this gen on PS3) is MGS4 a game that has been hyped a lot, that is exclusive (that explains the hype) and that is coming in a very good period of the PS3 (nobody is anymore claiming the PS3 line-up is crappy).
Nobody is expecting amazing sales for MGS4
But I guess 1M/1st week WW is really possible. Reaching 2M will be very hard ...
I expect legs to be quite small
