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alot has been going on in the last 5 months that have sort of prevented the wii from reaching 50%: gta4, death of HDDVD, supply constraints, brawl, mario kart, wii fit etc.

now i know what you're thinking "how can brawl,mario kart and wii fit prevent the wii from reaching 50%? shouldnt they help?" well the reason they arent helping hardware sales is because they have to hold back consoles to help software sales in the long run.

after the release of guitar hero aerosmith, which is about the biggest game before the summer seasons(i think), the wii sales will do extremely well for 3 reasons:

1) nintendo will have no reason to withhold supply so they will be able to ship the full 1.8 million wii's a month averaging out to around 450k a week.

2)ps360 sales will likely temporarily dry-up due to lack of big-hitters. there are a few but none that would make someone go buy a ps3 or 360.

3)if nintendo DOES increase production then that will almost guarantee 50% marketshare.

so overall during those undisturbed 8-12 weeks of summer the wii sales will be much higher due to the casual gamers wanting to get a wii for its fabulous line up such as: SSBB, MKWII, wii fit, mario party 8, mario and sonic, rock band wii, guitar hero: 3 and aerosmith.

ps360 sales will be low because the hardcore gamer will be waiting for gow2, fable2, killzone2 etc. meaning sales will be ESPECIALLY low.

to sum everything up: wii sales will be high this summer due to casual gamer and big line up of games. ps360 will have low sales due to absence of new releases.



the nintendo wii will outsell the ps3 and the 360 combined by the end of 2008.                           

        PS3 will out sell the 360 june 2010.                                                                      

  GOTY of 2008 is super smash brothers brawl.... hopefully.

END OF 08 PREDICTIONS:

Wii: 45 million         xbox360: 26 million       PS3: 19 million (made beginning of 08)

wii: 44 million         xbox 360: 24 million      PS3: 21 million (made june 08)

wii code: 8094-5344-2140-1400

brawl code: 5412-9565-3232