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lionpetercarmoo said:
zorg1000 said:

Gladly. Ive explained before how simply having a larger install base does not gaurantee larger sales. Many Nintendo franchises seem to sell in a pretty general range regardless of install base.

Look at 3D Mario or Pokemon or Zelda or Kirby or Metroid, etc. These series and others do not seem to be significantly affected by install base and have sold similar numbers whether they are on a 20 million or 100+ million install base.

Also one needs to take into account demographics of a device. About 3/4 of retail sales on PS4/XBO come from the sports/shooter/action genres so the likelihood of Nintendo franchises having large gains by being on competitors devices seems rather slim.

From a Nintendo fan perspective, going 3rd party likely means we will miss out on many Nintendo franchises. Not too long ago, it was revealed by Sony that something like 6/10 games they publish arent profitable but they continue to make them in order to create a diverse lineup, its most likely a similar situation for Nintendo so if they go 3rd party than its a very strong possibility that they will just stick to their major IP and smaller ones will be forgotten.

By exiting the hardware business Nintendo is forfeiting profits from hardware, accessories, royalty fees in addition to possibly paying royalty fees meaning that Nintendo games would need to sell significantly more in order to offset these losses of revenue and like i said just because there is a larger install base does not mean larger sales will automatically appear.

But in terms of Nintendo those sales will rise. Do you know how much people want to play a  Mario game on Playstation or Xbox. Everybody will go and buy that game. Also those genres are the main genres that are made so of course they will get alot of sales. If NX fails you can bet that Nintendo will either go 3rd party or start thinking about it.

I made alot of points in my last post and it seems you didnt acknowledge most of them.

I have no idea how many PS/XB fans want a Mario game but im positive it's far less than you believe. Like I said, Mario Galaxy & Twilight Princess sold similar to Mario 64 & Ocarina of Time despite having an extra 70 million people to sell to.

Now you could make the argument that Wii was primarily a casual focused console so ill point to some Nintendo games on other consoles. Wind Waker sold pretty much the same as Link to the Past depsite being on a console with less than half the install base. Metroid Prime sold similar to the original despite being on a console with nearly 1/3 the install base. Animal Crossing on 3DS has sold close to the one on DS with less than half the install base. Pokemon has consistently sold around 15 million on GBA, DS & 3DS, devices that range from 60 million to 150 million.

We cant just assume that Nintendo games will sell significantly better simply by being on devices with larger sales.

And you have it backwards, shooters/sports/action games dont sell well on PS/XB because they are the main genres, they are the main genres because they sell so well. There is nothing that suggests a $60 platformer will do gangbusters on PS/XB.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.