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Still a good 2 weeks as the center of everyone's attention (or a bit less), then a couple months (could be a year) as a fairly popular game, in the top 10 of grossing charts (which is good, really.)

If Niantic updates it a appropriate moments, top 5 could be possible, in long term. (closer to 5 than 1, I'd estimate.)



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.