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Mummelmann said:
Zod95 said:
Of course the OP deserves kudos for such a prediction. I remember back then, and even some months/years later, anyone who called such a low figure for WiiU's lifetime sales was considered crazy. Now everyone knows 40 million is far too high, but in 2012 it was one of the lowest predictions one could find. I would say that, in 100 predictions, this would be certainly in the top 5. I think that I personally have never made such a good prediction.

There are even those who still believe in magic, lo and behold, the one and only (and relentless) who has now started gearing up for the NX and quite recently made some ridiculous statements on the Wii U;

http://www.belltreeforums.com/showthread.php?334729-You-can-imagine-a-full-Animal-Crossing-WiiU-version-while-playing-Amiibo-Festival!/page3

Too bad he's not willing to have any discussions here. He'll be back for NX launch, is my guess. 240 million lifetime 4 sho.

I'm just trying to respond to those here that are saying this was not a good prediction and that predicting less than 40M back then in 2012 or predicting 80M or 200M is the same thing since now all are delusional. It's not.

Speaking about our friend JohnLucas (who you show in that link), I remember in 2013 predicting 50M-70M for WiiU to oppose the 240M JohnLucas's insane prediction. Back then, we were all inflating WiiU. However, that doesn't mean we all shared the same view. On the contrary, some of us were trying to explain (to those predicting +100M) that WiiU would not be another Wii or something even more successful. I remember being fiercely attacked because of my low prediction.

40M one year earlier? That's incredible.

Still believing in magic for the WiiU? That's also incredible ;)



Prediction made in 14/01/2014 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 100M      XOne: 70M      WiiU: 25M

Prediction made in 01/04/2016 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 100M      XOne: 50M      WiiU: 18M

Prediction made in 15/04/2017 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 90M      XOne: 40M      WiiU: 15M      Switch: 20M

Prediction made in 24/03/2018 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 110M      XOne: 50M      WiiU: 14M      Switch: 65M