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It's quite possible that Nintendo had lofty internal goals for the Wii U before launch. They started slashing projections almost from the start, sometimes more than once. They initially projected 5.5 million in the Wii U's first partial year, which they didn't get close to hitting. First full year projection was 9 million but that was after they were already in quicksand.

I mean, I doubt Kishima was listening to projections in a meeting from someone without some level of importance.