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Still early, but I can see Uncharted 4 being the favorite to win this year with Overwatch close behind it. FFXV is the wild card though and could end up amazing or just good. The Last Guardian's in a similar boat for me but even if it knocks it out of the park I don't think it has the mass appeal to get the popular vote (plebs). Inside looks like it might win the best downloadable, though The Tomorrow Children or something else could upset.