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Ka-pi96 said:
Scoobes said:

Economically this makes the most sense for both parties, but politically the EU countries need to make it look like the UK is in the shit and signing up to the free movement of people that Norway signed up to will piss off some of the people who voted to Leave (who voted on the assumption we would have complete control of our borders). That will weaken the position of the government in charge of the negotiations when the next general elections comes around. 

TBH I'm not sure it will. I expect this will strengthen the SNP in Scotland, thus making it harder for Labour there, and I just don't think they're strong enough in England to pull off a win without some success in Scotland. Hard to see anything but a Conservative government any time soon regardless, especially now that UKIP will effectively be dead and those voters will likely go back to the tories.

UKIP stole as much from Labour as they did from the Tories. Labour's chances of success will now depend on whether they can get rid of Corbyn and install a leader that can actually win back support and appeal to the centre/centre-left. 

I also don't see UKIP going anywhere if we do sign up for free movement of people as they'll see it as a betrayal of sorts. I don't see any single party getting an outright majority next time around. The Lib dems may even see a bit of a resugence if they stick to their "EU return" pledge which could further split the vote.