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Intrinsic said:

Another thing i think here is that in another 4yrs, we will get another refresh. Call it the PS5/XB2 (I'm seeing them more as refreshes). By then, the $500-$600 consoles will retail for sub $300, the current $300 consoles would be phased out and at that point we start to see game releases that only work on the newer consoles and Neo/scorpio but not on the base ps4/xb1. 

So what do you all think?

I love this part. So in late 2021 when PS5 and Xbox 2 possibly comes out, games will have Scorpio and PS4 Neo as the common lowest denominator and minimum requirement, but they run with better graphics settings on PS5 and Xbox 2. These games don't work on PS4 and Xbox One who at this point will be 8 years old and obsolete, but these consoles have been supported until early 2021, when all games still were required to work on both PS4/Xbone and PS4 Neo/Scorpio.