I think there is a problem for the Wii third parties with Nintendos' great success.
62% of all software sales to date have been Nintendo 1st parties. Nearly 2 out of 3 software purchases have been Nintendos own software. It doesn't give much breathing room to the smaller publishers and developers. This is compared to 20% for the Xbox360.
VGcharts.com/forum is not a representative sample of the Wiis' user base especially. The userbase that has a Wii and uses this forum is hardcore by definition. The demographics of the userbase is quite diverse, but they will buy anything it seems, with the words Nintendo franchise written all over it. This is perfectly logical behaviour from these consumers, take the sure bet every time. This does beg the question though, if a large percentage of the user base can't see very far past the first N what percentage of the market can a third party expect to target?
For example - Resident Evil 4 was released to critical acclaim and it was a really good game in the Pre Christmas period. Metacritic 91 - Sales 1.8million. If people are being drawn to the console by Nintendo with their games almost 100% of the time then how does this change the market dynamics? What percentage of the Wiis userbase would buy a non-nintendo game?
Blow this argument away please? I hate to think that there won't be as many non-nintendo AAA games as I'd hoped for.
Tease.
