‘Warcraft’ Fever Hits China as Advance Sales Reach $20.4 Million

[binary solo]

crissindahouse said:

binary solo said:

Good to have a more or less confirmed financial benchmark for profitability. If it manages a worldwide box office of >$300 million then we are looking at a break even movie. It's already made $70 million overseas and with China adding about $30 million it's 1/3 of the way there. If USA opening weekend is $25 million I don't expect it to get much more than $50 million as I expect fans to see it at the opening, but most of the general audience being swayed by the general scepticism towards video game movies along with the low review scores. So we have $150 million pretty much guaranteed, which means it needs solid openings in the remaining significant markets and reasonable legs to get to $300 million.

Personally I think the opening weekends will need to be pretty good because I don't see the movie having legs.

Studios get only 25% of the ticket sales in China, if a lot of the revenue will come from there then they will need more than  $300m to break even. 

Probably more like minimum $350m needed (well, depends how much would come from CHina)

It's at $168 million outside the USA at the moment, with 2 more markets to open in the next week or so. Even with a poor box office in the USA of ~$50 it's looking like the movie will probably reach break even. Which will be impressive. But doesn;t really break any VG movie curse. The curse has never been about profitability. There have been several VG movies that have been profitable. The curse has always about mostly getting bad reviews, and Warcraft isn't breaking that curse. However, as a genuinely big budget movie, if it breaks even and earns itself a sequel it will do a lot to give VG adaptations a boost in perception of financial viability. But i don't particularly care about financial viability. I actually want to see a VG adaptation being a critical success.