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Rustynail on 07 June 2016
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Jumpin said:
Rustynail said:

Lol, Gamestop. I don't buy this rumor at all. We don't even know anything about the NX and they're not presenting it at E3. Nintendo are following a pattern where they sell stationary consoles at a decline every gen. The NX is likely going to cater to a very narrow install base. It probably won't be a stationary console, but a hybrid console that has about the same power as the PS Vita. I would be surprised if it had similar hardware specs and architecture as the Xbox One and PS4, so it will probably get very little third party support outside of Japan unless it becomes a success, but if you think back of the N64, Gamecube and Wii U, then it's not that much likely that the NX will get third party support or be a success, because the N64, Gamecube and Wii U all stood out from their competitors in terms of hardware and Nintendo did nothing once the third party support was gone.

You're skipping the Wii, and making assumptions. The Wii sold 100 million consoles, and launched with a killer app like the NES.

The NES launched in many markets with a killer app, and had a second one later on with Super Mario Bros 3.
The SNES didn't have a killer app until Donkey Kong Country, and it had competition which did have a killer app at launch with Sonic the Hedgehog 1 and 2.
The N64, while it had killer apps, it used cartridges which prevented many games from being on it, and lost lots of third party support as a result.
The Gamecube went hardcore kiddie: from kiddie controller, to kiddie discs, to the kiddie lunchbox it was housed in. Also, it had no killer apps, but it did have plenty of kiddie apps.
The Wii U had an ultra expensive controller that you could only have one of, it was slow, and lacked any killer app.
Unless the NX has no killer app, little third party support, and a really expensive controller you can only have one of per console, then I don't see how it could possibly do worse than Wii U. The Wii is proof that with a killer app at launch, a console from them can be gigantically successful.

The Wii was even more kiddy than the Gamecube when comparing the games, it didn't have so many killer apps, it was 200 or 300 bucks cheaper than the PS3 and it was very overrated. It sold basically only because of Wii Sports and that was one of the most overrated games of all time and it had terrible third party support. I think sale numbers of it might also have been overestimated.

Nintendo have been doing things wrong since the N64 and their mistakes have been similiar every gen, so it's obvious that they are following a pattern. They cater to a very narrow audience every time, they did so with the N64, the Gamecube, the Wii U and they will likely do so again with the NX. The Wii U had a great first half year where 5 or 6 mllion consoles were sold and third parties gave Nintendo another chance at the Wii U launch but it failed totally and there's no chance they are going to give Nintendo another chance again unless Nintendo pays them, but that's very unlikely since that could only be a waste of money, they sold very few Wii U consoles after the first half year. Actually when you think of the pattern, I think the total sale numbers will only get worse with the NX. The Gamecube hardware was on par with PS2 and it wasn't overpriced, yet it failed.

Unless the NX is very underpowered and only sold for like 50 or 100 bucks, then I think they might sell between 5 and 8 million NX consoles in total and then it will probably die after 2 or 3 years when the next gen consoles are launched. I think it will only get worse when Xbox One Scorpio and PS4 NEO has been launched. Their past consoles failed because of many reasons. Another mistake they made with the Gamecube was launching it 1½-2 after the PS2 which already dominated the market so the Gamecube got totally killed. Now they are planning to release the NX 3½ after the current gen consoles and that might evaltually backfire because the Xbox One and PS4 will be in total domination of the market by then and I won't be surprised if the NX is just another underpowered gimmick which no one really likes and lack in even more genres than the Gamecube which didn't have RPG, FPS, Sandbox or Racing.

Another huge mistake they are making is not presenting it to the masses and promoting it already at E3 in a time where Nintendo needs as much as attention as possible to stay relevant, launching it in March where fewer games are released and games and consoles sell less could be another mistake. The Wii U sale numbers were on the same level as the Wii at launch and half of their 12 million consoles sold were actually sold in the holidays during the first half year as far as I remember.