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Teeqoz said:
Intrinsic said:

I don't understand.

Why should we calculate margin of error for a LTD sales forcast but take sales tracking of onky the last 6 months?

I don't know..... maybe its just me and I am doing it wrong...... but

If sony gives a LTD sales number, isnt the most obvious thing to do just be to take the current LTD numbers on VGC and see how close or far off they are? I mean, we are talking about LTD tracking here aren't we?

Sony has it at over 40M as at the 22nd of May. VGC has it at 40.7M two weeks before sonys date. How is that being 25% off? 

For LTD sales to be over 25% off, then VGC should be at over 50M now compared to sony's 40M.

Someone should pls correct me if I am wrong. 

Because it's not impressive that VGC are able to update sales figures given officially by Sony. The point of VGC is providing info that isn't available elsewhere.

In december, Sony announced 35.9 million sold. Now Sony announce 40 million sold. Difference =  4.1 million sales

35.9 million sales vs VGC's ~41 million for the same date (the PS4 has been selling about 150k a week and 150k*2=0.3m. 40.7m+0.3m=41m. Difference = 5.1 million sales.

VGC difference from Sony's numbers = 1 million

1/4.1 (the official numbers) ~25%

 

 

Do you really think that this is "impressive tracking" by VGC? I could've done better. Heck, I've been saying that the PS4 was tonnes overtracked ever since Sony announced shipments, so in fact I *did* do better.

Thanks for clearing that up. Got it now.