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Uncharted 2 and 3 combined sold around 17m, so Uncharted 4 will need some pretty strong legs even to just match its predecessors, let alone surpass them. Considering that legs are naturally weak for established, popular IPs with heavy marketing, I'm not sure how easy this will be.

The first week and month are very important for a game, and I think people overestimate the legs of many titles.

I guess the real question is: will Uncharted 4 become the default bundle to pad the numbers?