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konnichiwa said:
radioioRobert said:
1.5 million in North America week one...., 2.5 million by week 3.

I don't think it will outsell the PS3 WW lifetime. However, hasn't Wii Fit already sold more than the PS3 in Japan? I remember they were close...

Yups or atleast when the new Japan numbers come in.


It will be close, but I think Wii Fit JPN (2.04m) sales will be just under total PS3 (2.10m) sales for this week by about 10k units or less. Next week definitely. 

1.3-1.5m is probably too high unless the NA marketing effort and media exposure has a much bigger effect on initial sales in NA than the other global regions. It will have to be a pretty substantial effect to more than double Week 1 sales in the Others region.

About 1m is a more reasonable estimate. It would help to know how many were shipped of course.

As for Wii Fit outselling the PS3 WW by the end of 2008; very unlikely. That's predicting well over a 40% attach rate when a 30% attach rate is far more realistic, even from the most optimistic viewpoint. 15m WW by the end of 2008 would be phenomenal, but PS3 sales should be closer to 20m.