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The question is irrelevant. Nintendo made it so that the question doesn't matter. They patented that add on power box that will pretty much keep NX around for the next 10 years without issue. This means that the number of consoles isn't as big of a factor since it will be riding through up to 3 generations without issue. All told I wouldn't be shocked that by the time its over, there will be over 150 million NX handhelds and consoles sold over the next 10 years. Once Nintendo establishes NX as a forever console, people will be unafraid to invest in Nintendo.