NX 2017 Lineup Predictions

[Miyamotoo]

Einsam_Delphin said:

Miyamotoo said:

You are totally wrong if you think that some 2D platformer (ever Mario) can be system seller today, but you will definitely have lotsa people who would actually buy new Nintendo console for Mario Galaxy 3 or some different 3D Mario game, not onother 2D Mario.

Also you are totally wrong if you think NSMBU and Nintendo Land sold Wii U, at launch only hard cores Nintendo fans bought Wii U and that has nothing with launch games that were atualy very weak. Right after launch Wii U sales become terrible, because no one except Nintendo hardcores didn't want to buy brand new console to play 2D Mario and Nintendo Land, people buy consoles for much bigger games, games like 3D Mario, 3D Zelda, Mario Kart, Smash Bros...games that are realy system sealers.

Again, 3D Mario is far bigger game that has much stronger impact and that brings lots attention of industry, you cant say that for any 2D platform game even for 2D Mario, thats why is more important to have 3D Mario game at launch or in 1st year of console than having 2D Mario. Basically you can say some thing for 3D Zelda, 2D Mario is selling better than Zelda, but Zelda brings huge attention of industry to console and not just of Nintendo fans, and always is one of best games of whole generation, something similar could be said for 3D Zelda also.

Launching Wii U without big game was terrible decision, Nintendo will definitely want to have much better launch lineup with NX, that means 3D Mario not just onother 2D platformer.

Iam 100% confident we will have 3D Mario in 1st year of NX and that we will not have new 2D Mario game in 1st year (exept maybe port of Mario Maker).

 

lol @ arguing against cold hard numbers with "because I say so!" logic. You're actually both wrong though, I mean all you have to do is look at the recent sales.

SM3DL - 10 million, NSMB2 - 9 million

NSMBU - 5 million, SM3DW - 4 million

These are much more relevant for determining 2D Mario's current value than an installment from 7 years ago, and while no longer gargantuan, it's clearly just as big as 3D Mario despite minority forum go-ers constant complaints about it's quality. However, going back to where this argument started, Miyamotoo is right in saying 3D Mario will come first. The numbers above show it doesn't matter which one is released first since they have the same impact, just as long as one they have one of them, so we look to other factors. Come NX launch it'll have been over 3 years since the last 3D Mario. SM3DW was 3 years after Galaxy 2 which was 3 years after Galaxy, so the timing makes sense. Then if that likely rumor about Mario Maker NX port is to be believed, it would mean the 2D Mario gap is already filled, so it would be pretty redundant to launch a NSMB game alongside it.

Sales of some game doesn't equal with system seller, especially if we have games like NSMBU and Nintendo Land that very heavily bundled basically from launch. Even we can say that NSMBU is one of must have games for Nintendo fans, that game is not game for which people would buy system in first place in order to play it, but that is actually case with 3D Mario games.

NX will be launch in March 2017, thats basicly around 3.5 years from SM3DW and thats enuf time for new 3D Mario game. Also Nintendo said they will changing concept of 2D Mario games, probably no more NSMB and thats great thing.