DakonBlackblade said:
Thats not how BO work. The original projections for China were 200M, after its second week it got lowered to 100-120M. It saw a colossal drop from week 1 to 2 in China (more so than it saw on the rest of the world, and the drop was massive all around). It won't make another 20M let alone 100M on China, as I said its doing lower numbers there than Zootopia wich is a movie released well before BvS. Also its doing lower numbers than Iron Men 3 everywhere (but Brazil, because reasons) since ever, it opened lower dropped faster and is still dropping faster. This movie unlike most blockbusters opened on the same day on every market in the world so its extremely frontloaded (more so than blockbusters usualy are). It has a shot at 1 billion but thats it, its not going anywhere near IM3. Its gona make a profit for sure but no matter how you cut it the profit was heavilly influenciated by the bad reviews and word of mouth and is much lower than the studio and investors wanted it to be. WB has already shuffled its DC movies release dates around, they anounced 2 new dates and brought the WW movie foward, ppl are speculating this means they wont do JL when they originaly planed to, instead they'll have a Batman solo movie on its date and do the JL movie on one of the newer dates they anounced. In other wordsWB is listening to the critics that said they tried to cram too much into a single movie and are going to give the DCCU time to mature before throwing a bunch of heroes together again.. |
Movies have a long tail gross distribution over time.
In the USA Block busters drop 50-60% the first few weeks then 40% then 30% then it's so low it dosent matter.
Aclaimed movies can hold stronger but only few pull an Avatar kind of show. Low burners are mostly animations or well stabilished franchises like James Bond.
In China BvS made 40mi after the first week. I cant see that is that catastrofic. Can't it get another 50mi in the next couple of months?
Over seas was another 100mi week it might do more than Zootopia even with a 300mi vs 150 mi in China.
Batman brand is that strong WW
It is the USA Boxoffice that should be Warner concern.
