2008 and long term sales for PS3 and XBOX360 - my predictions

[Oyvoyvoyv]

Why do people say the average will be way above 170K for Ps3? Last year it averaged 145K throughout the year. X360 averaged 155K.

X360 will likely average 170ish and Ps3 220ish. For the long run, I think those numbers are relatively good. Taking into consideration that he is talking about 5 year cycle, and sales will step down a bit at the end.

Well, that's a rought estimate only. I'll back it up.

Ps3 sales Jan 6th to 12th may 2007: 2075K
X360 sales Jan 6th to 12th may 2007: 1882K

Ps3 sales jan 5th to may 10th 2008: 3823K
X3360 sales Jan 5th to May 10th 2008: 2861K

Increase in Ps3 sales: 45%
Increase in X360 sales: 27%


If the average stays it will be 210K for Ps3
If the average stays it will be 196K for X360.

As 360 is likely to drop in 2009, and Ps3 is likely to drop in 2010, the numbers are OK for the long run.

If you change the numbers to 210K Ps3 and 180K X360, I think people will think it is more fair.

Your analysis may favour Ps3 a small bit, but not a lot. Well done overall!

PS: Most of the complainers have never made as good a post as yours.