Would Nintendo survive if they went 3rd party?

[zorg1000]

UltimateUnknown said:

zorg1000 said:

Its not just install base, its also audience and demographic that determine how well a game sells. Like i pointed out a few posts back, close to 80% of PS4/XB1 retail software sales are from the shooter/sports/action genres. If you also include Racing Sims & Western-RPG than that number comes close to 90%.

A whole bunch of Nintendo IP belong to genres that arent very popular on PS/XB, platformer, puzzle, party, simulation, strategy, miscellaneous.

Their big mainstream hits like 2D/3D Mario, Smash Bros, Mario Kart & Zelda could increase in sales but games like Mario Party, Pikmin, Fire Emblem, Rhythm Heaven, Animal Crossing, Paper Mario, WarioWare, Kirby, Yoshi, Donkey Kong, Tomodachi, etc? I dont really see these games doing much if any better.

The 10 or so million people that bought a Wii U to specifically play the niche Nintendo games are going to follow Nintendo to whatever platform they release their next games on, whether it's on their own console or a platform from another manufacturer. They are the hardcore Nintendo fans who will always be there to play those games, and if they are willing to buy a Nintendo console just for Nintendo games and no other support, they will more than likely be willing to buy a console that has both Nintendo games and all the 3rd party support. In other words Nintendo would retain most of their sales for the niche games from their dedicated audience coming with them to the new platform, but also gain extra sales from an audience that probably never played these games because they didn't want to buy a new console for them, even if these people fall into the minority "20%" that buy games other than action/shooters on PS4/Xbone/PC.

Yes, i know that Nintendo fans will still buy these games but the point is if Nintendo software sales dont have a large increase from becoming 3rd party than there is no reason for them to become 3rd party.

Pikmin 3 has sold about 1 million, ya a Pikmin 4 might sell 1.5 million on PS+XB, is that really worth it when u take into consideration that Nintendo no longer recieves royalties in addition to paying royalties?

Will Nintendo even bother making games outside of their proven big hitters now that they dont need to support their own platform?

Will they continue to fund 3rd party games like Fatal Frame, Bayonetta or Wonderful 101?

Will they still outsource their IP to smaller studios like Good-Feel, Next Level, Alpha Dream, Genius Sonority, Arika, Monster Games?

Nintendo wont need to publish 20 or so games per year now that they dont need to push hardware so is their software output going to be cut drastically? How does that benefit Nintendo fans who like their smaller, more niche franchises & spinoffs?