It all depends on who's sales slow down the quickest. As it stands the Wii is doing very well and could continue strong sales into 2012 especially with Korea and China markets opening. The PS3 has the Sony namebrand and blu-ray so I think it will remain a force to be reckened with. It is also gaining momentum in North America and Europe right now. Once FF13 comes out, it will be strong in Japan as well. That's why I see Microsoft to be the first to release there next gen system first. Gears 2 or whatever won't really boost 360 sales and the alignment with HD-DVD has hurt it. However if Microsofts motion controller catches fire, then anything can happen. I just don't see a large enough userbase for the controller that will make developers want to make games that utilize it. The prospect of a motion controller with HD graphics is pretty sweet you must admit.
