Forbes - Is the death of consoles inevitable?

[bunchanumbers]

zorg1000 said:

bunchanumbers said:

It won't be. At least for Nintendo. But the shrinking and the fallout of the AAA publishers will be really ugly. There will be massive layoffs and many shutdowns. Many will be trying to sell their wares on mobile. Some devs and publishers won't be recognizable. Nintendo is the only one who is self sustainable so they will end up being the last one standing. But the gaming market will be a shell of itself.

What exactly makes you think all or most AAA publishers will shrink/fallout?

console sales numbers. They are not what they were last gen. It means that AAA publishers are doing different things to try to get more money. $50 season passes. Deluxe Digital bundles. Early Access style launches etc. There's already backlash to these things. Look at SF5. Eventually these techniques won't keep them in the green and the AAA publishers will end up contracting because of it.

Plus the vast majority of the gaming revenue is dependent on yearly franchises like Madden, Fifa, and CoD. Eventually franchise fatigue will end up drying up this well and the balloon will burst.