Nintendo Lowers 2016 financial forecast

[zorg1000]

OneKartVita said:

zorg1000 said:

So instead of responding to the post I wrote to you addressing this exact thing, our going to repeat what you already said to someone else? Makes sense.

I've numerous people replying to me in 2 threads about similar things and I'm replying in between matches of rocket league as the next game loads.  Hard to keep track.  What did you say? 

OneKartVita said:

zorg1000 said:

That's not the same thing at all. Wii U would be a more attractive purchase if it had Pokemon, Animal Crossing, Luigi's Mansion, Kid Icarus, Fire Emblem, Monster Hunter, etc. just like 3DS would be a more attractive purchase if it had Splatoon, Mario Maker, Xenoblade X, Pikmin, Bayonetta, Nintendo Land, etc.

The point is if you can get all those on the one platform why would Nintendo fans buy both?  I'd say about 10m Wii U owners by the end of the gen will also own 3DS. Why would they spend a fortune buying both.  If they put all games on both straight away you're losing sales.  On top of that people are moving away from dedicated handhelds to smartphones so there will be a lot more lost sales.  

 

Bottom line is they won't succeed without 3Rd party support.  Because Nintendo on their own will not grow gen over gen.  They will decrease and their profits from consoles won't increase. 

You aren't factoring in people who own neither a 3DS or Wii U that may buy at least one NX sku.

Lets use the 2015 releases as an example, lets say someone wanted to play Monster Hunter 4, Majora's Mask 3D & Happy Home Designer but those 3 games weren't enough for them to buy a 3DS, lets say they are also interested in Splatoon, Super Mario Maker & Xenoblade X but again those 3 games aren't enough to buy a Wii U. Would that person be more likely to purchase a single device that plays all 6 of those games?

Another factor that you aren't considering is the increase of software sales, certain games have been hindered by the fact they are stuck on a platform with a small userbase. Splatoon & Mario Maker are big successes and will each sell 5+ million but what if they had the entire 3DS audience to sell to as well? These games could very well sell over 10 million.

A third major factor is that Nintendo can diversify their lineup by not having to make 2 separate entries of many franchises. Instead of releasing a Mario Kart title for the handheld then 3 years later another Mario Kart for the console, they can release one and support it with DLC then release a new IP 3 years later. This potentially leads to more Splatoon-like scenarios of new, exciting franchise being created which increases the devices appeal.