Prediction: Microsoft will launch the Xbox Two in 2017 or 2018

[Mr Puggsly]

Swordmasterman said:

Mr Puggsly said:

Hypothetically, if X1 only sold 30 million, support would depend on how much software it could move. Think about it, OG Xbox got a lot of support, many exclusives and console exclusives as well with a userbase smaller than 30 million.

X1 will sell more units than N64 in the US and outside the US.

I dont consider N64 a failure. But 3rd party  support was an issue and its support didnt last long. I think OG Xbox was supported longer because 3rd parties.

OG Xbox, got games until 2006, is 5 Years of Support, the Nintendo 64, had games until 2001, also is 5 years of Support, Having more support than other Machine, does not means that will last longer.

The Xbox One, can have heavy support on the early-middle of the gen, but if Microsoft, drop it, maybe it will lose support, we will know more about this on the Windows Event.

No, you got it wrong. 2006 was the last year of OG Xbox's strong 3rd party support. In 2007 it got annual sports titles and casual stuff. The final game appears to be a Madden game in 2008. So technically 8 years of support.

The N64 had poor 3rd party support in 1996 and support began to dry up in 2001 with Gamecube launching. In 2002 N64 had a pretty crappy version of Tony Hawk 3, that appears to be the final game. So technically 7 years of support.

Both had a good six years of support. N64 relied more on 1st party while Xbox managed to do well with 3rd parties.

People criticized MS for pulling OG Xbox support too soon. But 3rd parties kept some good stuff coming. Hence, 3rd parties would likely support Xbox One as well even if MS pulls 1st party support.

A few things to consider as well. OG Xbox had significantly more games than N64 in spite of selling less units. A major reason for that was OG Xbox was easy to support. It basically used PC hardware, it received a lot of PS2 ports, it received PC ports PS2 couldnt handle, MS aquired a lot of exclusive support from 3rd parties, it had games Sony rejected like 2D games, and its dirt cheap to manufacture DVD discs compared to N64 carts.

If MS continues to give X1 strong support until 2019 maybe it will sell 50 million units. Frankly, as long as the userbase north of 30 million, with its ability to handle PS4 games and strong sales of major releases, support for X1 will continue from 3rd parties for a good while.