Prediction: Microsoft will launch the Xbox Two in 2017 or 2018

[Azuren]

zorg1000 said:

Azuren said:

As some have pointed out, XB1 is outperforming the XB360 on aligned launch.

The people who are saying that seem to ignore that 360 had a huge surge in sales in 2010-2012 from "casuals" due to Kinect. Unless XB1 has a massive late life resurgence than matching 360 sales is very unlikely. VR/AR could potentially cause that but it seems as though Sony has the upper hand currently with Playstation VR releasing later this year.

XB1 will likely follow a more standard sales curve which is peak in its 2nd or 3rd full year then begin to decline.

Okay, that would be fine and dandy if the XB360 wasn't touted as a success prior to Kinect.