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Soundwave on 26 January 2016
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spemanig said:
curl-6 said:

3DS will be the lowest selling Nintendo handheld, the Vita is an unmitigated disaster, and it's pretty clear at this point that Sony won't be making another handheld, while if Nintendo do, they'll only be mainstream in Japan; the West has been lost to smartphones.

I wouldn't mind being proven wrong, but honestly, I can't see a future for dedicated portables outside of Japan.

I vehemently disagree that they will only be successful in Japan. The handheld market is completely different from the mobile market. The games being made in that space are simply designed differently. The 3DS will definitely be the lowest selling Nintendo handheld, but I think the NXDS will be a much more marketable, modern product than the 3DS was.

I think the NXDS will naturally be more successful in Japan, but I think it will still be absolutely titanic in the West as well.

There really is no way of proving you wrong though than to wait and see, but I don't think people are looking at their phones and saying "I have this so I don't need a handheld." They just never wanted a handheld and the 3DS/Vita both weren't enough to convince them otherwise. I think the NXDS will be different because of the way Nintendo is reestablishing its brand this year. Not 240 million different, but I think it's going to easily overtake the 3DS and pass 100m with ease.

 

I think you're wrong on this. In the past the only way to play games on the go was to have a dedicated portable really. 

Smartphone games honestly are pretty decent for what they intend to do ... which is to burn a quick 20-30 minutes (even though some phone games can be quite addicting and can be played for long sessions too). People generally don't have like hours on end to play a video game outside the house. 

There's going to be nothing "easy" about the next-gen for Nintendo, this is going to be a war. 

Smartphone games are also huge brand properties these days, there's more marketing for phone games than for anything else in the industry, even the biggest budget console third party games. I see more marketing for phone games.