Are PS4+X1 sales front-loaded?

[zorg1000]

Swordmasterman said:

zorg1000 said:

 

The question is whether or not they are more front-loaded than PS3/360. Those devices peaked in their 5th/6th years, that would mean 2018 or later would have to be the peak years for PS4/XB1.

 

I think that playstation 4's peak year will be 2018, or 2019, because we will have Final Fantasy 7, And Grand Theft Auto 6, the majority of sales of those games will be on Playstation 4, the Xbox One, i think that will start to sell on a rate of 4.1 in favor to Playstation 4, because of VR, and heavy exclusives.

 

and i think that GTA VI, will be the biggest game this gen, so will move the most sales on both hardware, and software, even today GTA V, still moving hardware sales.

Final Fantasy VII will be big for sure but Final Fantasy XV & Dragon Quest XI will already be out by then, along with various spinoffs and smaller JRPGs, meaning a very large percentage of people interested in FFVII will likely have already purchased a PS4 by the time it releases.

And I agree Grand Theft Auto VI will likely be the biggest game of the generation, but like u said GTAV is still moving hardware, the more it sells means the more people who are interested in GTAVI will already have a PS4/XB1. According to this site, GTAV has sold about 14 million on PS4/XB1 compared to about 36 million on PS3/360. A pretty large percentage of GTA fans already have a PS4/XB1.

I'm not saying these games won't have a large affect on hardware, just that as the generation goes on, individual games affect on hardware decreases. I don't see either console peaking after 2017.