zorg1000 said:
Farsala said:
Europe is a lot bigger now so it appears to be more front loaded. We are looking at Europe growing for the market leader. 3rd year is usually the peak for standard priced consoles due to the US and Japan. A slim will most likely create legs for the PS4.
To put into numbers
Market leader in US 7th gen: 45-48m
Market leader so far 8th gen: 12m (25%)
Market leader in Europe 7th gen: 32-35m
Market leader so far in 8th gen: ~14m (40-44%)
Market leader in Japan 7th gen: 12.5m
Market leader so far in 8th gen: 2.3-3m (18-24%)
You can easily see why this gen might appear to be more front loaded, but it is simply due to growth in Europe (and RoW I might add), despite stagnation in Japan. |
That's only if comparing market leader.
PS4+XB1 in USA, about 1/3 of lifetime PS3+360 sales
PS4+XB1 in Europe, about 1/3 of lifetime PS3+360 sales
PS4+XB1 in Japan, about 1/6 of lifetime PS3+360 sales
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It is most probably safe to say XB1 will sell similar numbers to the PS4 in the US, which creates the comparison of market leader+2nd place with PS4 and XB1.
93m vs 23.5m 25% yet again.
In Europe and rotw there will surely be growth.
In Japan, 1/6 is 2% off of the 18% so we agree there.
