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Depends on the Mario game. A mario game like NSMBU that adds little to the franchise? Then Splatoon 2. A game like Mario Galaxy that is a leap above its predecessors? Then Mario.

At any rate, Splatoon just came out last year, so it'd be better for Spla2n to have a little more development time. Release it in year two with a legitimate single player component, and you're golden.