What if Nintendo Doesn't Comeback?

[zorg1000]

Illusion said:

zorg1000 said:
                                       

Ya, 3DS+Wii U is currently around 70 million and will probably top out around 80-85 million, their problem is that they are two distinct platforms with little to no similarities and have completely separate libraries. If they were a unified platform with a shared library than they would be in a much better situation with those numbers.

I agree.  I would even go as far to say that if the NX is a unified platform and it ends up selling 30-40 million, that I think this would be a success.  I think there's a couple of reasons for this:

1)  It would be the second Nintendo home console to have increased sales compared to its predecessor and the first time where it wasn't a fluke: it reverses a very crucial trend in Nintendo's home console market.

2) The NX is being released mid-gen and critics are right that it does have a bit of an uphill battle to climb it's way back into the market.  30-40 million would be very impressive numbers with the generation half way over.

3) With the unified hardware concept, Nintendo would possibly be outputing 2 x as much first party software as what even the 3DS is currently getting.  Now I assume that Nintendo makes most of their profit on software sales so the NX alone at 30 million could be delivering 3DS-level profits with the added benefit of the lead-weight Wii U not dragging it down.

 

No, NX selling only 30-40 million total as a unified platform would be very bad. That would be a further 50% decline from 3DS/Wii U hardware sales and total software sales would only be around 250 million. With a 5 year cycle that would only be like 6-8 million & 50 million per year which would not be bringing in enough money for Nintendo to make a large profit.