Bofferbrauer on 07 January 2016
| JustBeingReal said: PS4 had hit 35.9M by the end of 2015, so it's averaged 17.95M each year, without the level of huge exclusives coming in 2016. I think it will easily sell 22M this year, so I think 57.9M by the end of 2016 for that, could even hit 60M with everything slated for this year. I think XBox One is going to take a bit of a dive with Sony having so many new AAA exclusives and just a generally more massive library of new games, particularly the big stuff like Uncharted 4, Ratchet, The Last Guardian and Horizon (I think this is very unlikely to be delayed). For Xbox One I see it maybe at 26M by the end of 2016 and I think that's being kind, the volume of exclusives just isn't there to differentiate it from PS4. PS4 has a much bigger and better line-up of new content, along with a generally bigger line-up of already released games. Sony has the 3rd party crowd basically locked up too. For Wii U maybe 15M, but if NX is a new console in part and that's announced as coming in 2016 at E3 2016 then I think it could be lucky to hit 14M. I'm of the opinion that any of the Wii U exclusives will likely play on NX and Zelda in particular is going to have a better version on NX, perhaps that's even been moved to NX at this point. |
Well, not exactly. Don't forget the PS4 already made several millions during it's launch in 2013 which need to be deduced. The average lies more around 15.5 millions because of this. However, it is likely that 2016 will be the PS4 peak year, considering the announced exclusives, so 20 millions or even slightly more are still possible.
