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Nem said:
And then you wake up! :D

I doubt 3rd parties will be on board like they are on the Xbox. They will wait for the installed base. The installed base won't be more than the Wii U without 3rd party support, etc.
The only way out to that conundrum is to have a system that captures the casual market. Then it has the installed base, then 3rd parties release some shovelware, doesnt sell. They abandon the system.

You know, it changes nothing. A new home console is not a way to save anyone. It will just be another Dreamcast.

 

3rd parties won't necessarily have to wait for the NX to build a sufficient install base before they start releasing games for it.  If there is enough hype around the unveiling of the console and there is a feeling that Nintendo is on to something with the NX then some 3rd parties will start developing for it long before it reaches the 20-30 million install base and maybe even before the console releases just because they can see its potential.  It's like any investment: if you wait for something to fully develop then you are already too late to make money.  3rd party developers are no different, if they think that the NX has potential to be huge they will want to develop for it first just to beat their own competitors to a new platform.

Now, Nintendo can definitely help themselves here by making the NX easy and cheap to port game onto, but I believe that the biggest factor deciding whether the NX will get 3rd party support will be whether the overlying concept of the NX takes off and garners popularity.  If it does, then both gamers and 3rd party developers will come to the NX at the same time (they have a symbiotic relationship, afterall).  I do not believe that nintendo necessarily needs to target casuals to do this, either.