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I think the biggest concern would be the possibility of it being a dreamcast. Jumping the gun on a release could be dangerous. The nx could be a great console with now issues, but if it launches against a ps4, it might get killed. Lets say Nov. 21 is the release date, the ps4 will probably be at 50-55 million and the xbox one is probably at 25, not many devs will role the dice and start developing for a new and unproven platform when they already have two well performing consoles. So in my opinion, it will have to come down to if nintendo can make good exclusives at its launch. If exclusives can harness interest, and people start buying the nx, it would prove that there is interest in the console, if not, it could die really fast. I'm not sure how the nx will do if it launches next year, but my guess is that will perform moderately well.