| haxxiy said: Assuming they target something like a 5x improvement on perf/watt, no less than one year after the 10nm manufacturing process becomes mature for high-performance parts. That is about 2019, I guess. Unless 10nm is a short stop-gap node for both TSMC and Samsung/Global Foundries like 20nm was and never fully matures. In that case, consoles would be stuck waiting either for reliable 7nm parts or be forced to release on 14/16nm. But I'm certaing it will be at least two nodes down. |
I wouldn't hold my breath for 10nm on the launch revisions of 9th gen consoles. These plans of TSMC, Samsung and Global Foundries are always very optimistic and if the transition goes smooth this time, the mobile industry will probably book most capacities of the first 10nm-wave. The shrink is more important for mobile devices (power consumption, die size) and Apple & Co. will pay better. The high end GPUs from Nvidia and AMD and after that consoles, which components shouldn't be too expensive.
That reminds me to this thread, that Sony and Microsoft should have waited with their 8th gen consoles until Nov. 2015 for AMD's "Zen": http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=203241&page=1
That plan would have failed (Zen isn't out yet...) and we would still use 10 year old consoles in 2016.
