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curl-6 on 19 December 2015
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Miyamotoo said:
curl-6 said:

It's unrealistic to expect TP numbers from Zelda U because if we presume a cross-gen launch it will be selling on (A) A system that's sold less than the Gamecube, and (B) An unproven system that has almost zero chance of selling as well as the Wii. So it will almost definitely have a vastly smaller install base to work with.

Also, in the age of the M-rated, realistic-styled AAA blockbuster, Zelda U won't have the mainstream appeal to reach beyond the existing Nintendo fanbase, which the Wii U shows is relatively small.

I deal in harsh realities. That doesn't mean I want things to be the way they are, but me pretending everything is fine when it's not doesn't help anybody.

It's not unrealistic because: A) We already seeing same crazy attach rates for Nintendo games on Wii U. B) NX probably will be platform with handheld and home consoles were you can play same games on both devices, so basically handheld and home consoles users will buying same game.

Those attach rates have still not stopped games on Wii U selling less than on their Wii versions. Mario 3D World still sold less than Mario Galaxy, Smash Bros 4 still sold less than Brawl. And if Zelda U is on NX, its Wii U sales will suffer still further, much like with TP on Gamecube.

And even if NX ends up being a handheld/console fusion, that is no guarantee at all it will sell Wii numbers. Nintendo home console + handheld sales this gen are at 67 million, far less than the Wii. 

But here's the kicker; both are in massive decline. Wii U will be an 85% sales decrease from Wii, 3DS about a 50% sales decrease from DS. This trend will likely continue into the next generation, so NX will probably sell considerably less than 3DS + Wii U.