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Hiku said:

There were digital sales for the first Tomb Raider as well. We only go by what we know, and unless there's a specific reason to think that one game would have had significantly more digital sales than the other, sales for this game are not looking good at the moment compared to the last game, and considering the budget this game probably has. (Square were still complaining about sales not meeting expectation for the previous game when they were over 4 million.)

As for the GTA IV DLC, you're actually not clarifying what you mean, you're just pointing it out, and that's why I'm asking why selling 1,25 million at $20 each digitally would not cover the 50m loan from MS, if MS takes the full share of the sales up until that point, as it was speculated that they did? What takes away from the profit of digital sales, besides the cost of bandwith?

Because 1.25M x $20 each is only $25 million? Am I missing something? Because that seems obvious.