The concept of this thread is exactly accurate. There has never been a "console war" where the leader walked away with less than 60% of the net market. Even the only proper "console war" in history, the SNES vs. the Genesis, where both companies were mismanaged and ended up well below their sales potential, SNES walked away with over 60% of the market. And yet people think that there will be a three-way tie... And even say "competition is a good thing." Competition will KILL this industry. Videogame consoles are media formats, and the bulk of people would rather invest in NO format than invest in two. People will hold out and continue to buy the old format until they know what new format is going to get the bulk of games. And when support falls through on the old format, while nothing new becomes dominant, the industry simply crashes. The leader, with over 60% of the market when all is said and done? Mark my words--Wii.
"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."
Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.
