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I expect the high end of group C.

I think Harry Potter will be an interesting multi-platform movie to game title to compare. It had more money and time invested in it compared to most movie related games, and also Madden 08. As supply hasn't come close to reaching demand, it still might be too early to tell.  (People may get a PS2 or 360 version because they can't get a wii to play a wii version).

What the sales numbers are like, once there are consoles on the shelf everywhere will make it a little easier to tell if it's group A, B, or C... Will supply and demand remain high, or will demand fall off quickly once everyone who wants one now but currently can't get one has one. It's normal for demand to be higher at the release of a new product, and we will not know if the wii truely has legs or not until you can find it in stock in most stores...