I'm still in between groups A and B, as I have been since early 2006....But in 2006, I was in group C.
Ultimately, the big test will be it's worldwide sales during Christmas, ect 2007, and the ensuing sales in early 2008. By then, the 360 and maybe even PS3 will have price drops + very viable titles. If the Wii still sells 300k+ in NPD calendar months, then the Wii will wind up around group B and group C. However, if we see the Wii start selling more moderately, at 200k or so, it will wind up between group A and group B. Any less, and it's headed to group A.
Again, the Wii really has no competition. What really counts is when MS and Sony have their cards (MGS4, Halo 3, GTAIV, ME, KZ2, RE5, price drop) down on the table. When the Wii has those things to go up with, we'll know 100% for certain. No earlier or later.
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
