Sullla on 23 June 2007
The first major sign to look for will simply be when Wiis are in stock: when anyone can walk into a retail store and pick up a Wii without camping or showing up on special dates. The system launched seven months ago and, ummm, we still haven't reached that point yet. I can't remember that ever happening with any console before; closest was PS2, and we know how that turned out.
If the Wii remains sold out everywhere for the rest of this year (and I really can't see anything else happening, frankly) Case "C" seems very likely to me. People want this thing. And they'll want it next year too.
End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)
