Does Splat2oon have a Chance at becoming a 10mil Seller Game?

[Cloudman]

Goodnightmoon said:

Cloudman said:

tbone51 said:

Cloudman said:
I understand that Splatoon was quite successful for a new IP on the Wii U, but 10 mil? I think that's taking it too far...

Oh really? :0

Honestly, yeah, haha... It's good to be optimistic, but even I think this is a bit far. I don't think there is a guarantee that a sequel will be that much more successful. It's uncertain how the NX will do when it is released some time next year. I would say around 2 to 3 mil is more reasonable? Maybe 5 mil would be a good end spot, personally at least.

I disagree. To think Splatoon 2 is gonna sell 2 milions is to think NX is gonna be a complete failure.

Splatoon is gonna have like a 30% attach rate or more on wiiu when is all done, higer hardware numbers make lower attach rates, but even if Splatoon 2 manages to get only a 15% next time in a console with, let´s say, 50 milions of sales, that's already 7.5 milions of sales. And honestly, I doubt the next Splatoon would be under 20% of attach rate, so I would say that your prediction is actually kind of pesimistic. 

Yeah, I would say I can be more on the pessimistic side. I'm just not convinced yet Splatoon will become an instant big success. The first game was a great success, but who is to say a sequel will do just as well, or even better? Well, I don't know. I think a sequel would do better, but I'm not jumping from around 2-3 mil to 10 mil. I also feel just because something has a larger install base, doesn't mean a game will sell better automatically. Look at the PS4 with its fast growing base. It still doesn't have a game that's hit 10 mil, and it has some of the biggest games on it. So for Splatoon to sell 10 mil on a console we don't know a lot about? I have my doubts. 5 mil? Possible. 10 mil? I think it's a bit of a stretch.

I am not against it though. If it does reach 10 mil, I would be so so happy : D