Is it save to say Zelda NX will be cross gen?

[SuperNova]

JNK said:

SuperNova said:
Going by your OP the neXt Zelda has a 25% chance to be exclusive to NX. 

If all 4 mentioned options are same likely, than yes...it would be 25%. But do you realy think all 4 options are samle likely?

Well, that's where it gets into the 'uhh no idea' part of my answer comes in, because NX is sort of a wild cart.

I think it has a decent shot at becoming a success, Nintendo at least, seems pretty confident about it. But overall it's hard to tell how the market will react to a console that as of now we know nothing but rumors about. And since of the likelyhoods in your OP depend on just that, I can not really weigh them other than 25% each without pulling things out of.....nowhere.

 

I feel like options 1.2 and 2.2 are also flawed because we have no gurantee to know if Nintendo would even make a new system if the NX fails, wich sort of makes them less likely.

We also don't really know how the whole dedicated hardware market will look in 5-10 years and if we will have something more akin to Netflix subscriptions/App store+AppleTv Box instead of dedicated consoles. Playstation, as well as microsoft have been taking steps into that direction and Nintendo has recently patented a cloud computing device, so it's hard to tell if this will be the thing to take off.

Also, like I mentioned previously, there is always the chance of a remaster/bc/virtual console release.