Just a few days ago, I did a projection based upon 2007 sales percentage of the first four months of 2007 vs. the rest of 2007 (which gave me a first-four-months range of 22% to 26%), and then applied it to 2008. The results were thus:
System / EOY 2008 Sales Best-Fit Range
Wii / 21,253,230 to 25,117,454
PS3 / 12,480,661 to 14,749,872
360 / 9,360,496 to 11,062,404
DS / 26,382,530 to 31,179,354
PSP / 14,847,915 to 17,547,536
Then I calculated their overall market presence by 2008 based on that.
System / Cumulative Best-Fit Range / Market Share Best-Fit Range*
Wii / 40,492,734 to 44,356,958 / 44.44% to 48.73%
PS3 / 21,269,845 to 23,539,056 / 22.94% to 26.32%
360 / 25,390,565 to 27,092,473 / 27.22% to 30.49%
DS / 90,193,079 to 94,989,903 / 65.68% to 68.13%
PSP / 44,438,520 to 47,138,141 / 31.87% to 34.32%
Details of the process behind getting these numbers can be found in the topic I posted it in: http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=25684
Now I suppose I just wait for somebody to tell me that I'm over-thinking it...
Sky Render - Sanity is for the weak.
