Pachter is a Hater

[Zkuq]

SpokenTruth said:

Zkuq said:

I didn't ask for the things he got wrong, I asked for the statistics. If he makes a thousand predictions and a hundred are wrong, that's a hundred incorrect predictions. But his success rate is still 90 %. So if he makes a lot of predictions, he's bound to get more wrong as well, and you might be seeing that effect. Not only that, but other analysts seem to get less publicity, which means their mistakes don't go public as easily so even if they're wrong more often, you don't see it.

Now bring the statistics and stop fooling around with 'it feels like' kind of stuff.

If his wrong rate were just 10%, he'd be celebrated rather than hated but you have the figures backwards.  He is right only 10% of the time and most of that 10% of frikkin obvious.

That was an example, I thought it was obvious... Apparently not. Shall I explain the example in even simpler terms? Also, you seems to have statistics available since you're so sure he's right 10 % of the time. Would you mind sharing them?