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My only problem with the slow down is its never happened for a console that's been dominant its first two years I mean yes this generation is different but is it so different to buck off prior history. You can say the PS2 performed a similar action when it came from behind to overtake the Dreamcast but that really is more comparable to the Wii coming from behind to overtake the Xbox360. Also looking to the past from the 3rd generation to now the dominant system sells to greater than 50% of the market and picks up a bandwagon effect the longer it is dominant even the SNES which had strong competition took more than 55% of the market during its generation. Add all of these factors up and assume what I think is the worst case senario no market growth from 170 million and you land in low end group C.