Death2009 on 05 March 2007
mrstickball said:
Erik -
It's doubtful that even GTAIV would outsell Halo 3 in the US/Europe on the 360 alone. Worldwide including sales from the 360 + PS3, yes, but not just on 360.
Halo 2 sold 6m units in the US alone on the 360. That's 1 out of every 2.5 (roughly) Xbox owners in the US that own a copy. GTAIII through SA sold less than 2m on the 360.
Not saying that GTAIV won't improve hugely, but Halo 3 is all but guarenteed similar results in the US, if not more.
I'm sticking my neck out but:
US Sales -
Halo 3 - 8.0m units lifetime sales
GTAIV - 6.0m units lifetime sales
Now, I DO believe that GTAIV will do more to propell the 360 to a broader market than Halo3 will, as it helps embolden the 360 market into more casual/mainstream markets as opposed to Halo 3's hardcore shooter market.
I dont think there's one major generation defining title. Wii Sports is the Wii-defining title, but I don't think it'll be the generation's defining title (as was GTAIII-SA were last gen in the west markets)
Each system has it's uber-sellers:
Halo 3 - 360
FFXIII - PS3
Wii Sports - Wii
But just like the market is going to be so severely fragmented this generation, there won't be a true winner. Maybe Wii Sports 2 on the Wii 2, however.
Halo 2 sold more than there are 360 owners, so my guess is when Halo 3 comes out it will push 360 sales massivly upward and combined with GTA4 it should push the 360 past 10 million consoles sold in america alone.