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mrstickball said: This is how I believe Sony sees it - 2006 - 1.5m units sold (horrible, everyone cries the world falls down) 2007 - 8.0m units sold (still pretty bad, world is falling down for Sony, Sony doomed total) 2008 - 11.0m units sold (price drops happen, Sony gets FFXIII out there, people start buying the PS3 as it's a little cheaper and worldwide) 2009 - 14.0m units sold (PS3 hits $350-$400 for higher end model, good Sony software. Starts improving marketshare vs. Wii and 360) 2010 - 15.0m units sold (PS3 hits its "stride" still under what the 360 and Wii has done, but reaches $250-$300 with people still buying it. Next-gen systems announced, Nintendo out with Wii 2 shortly. 2011 - 11.0m units sold (Next-Wii launches. Sony still doesn't have a solution to it, delays announcing next-gen succuessor. Bad sales maybe? says press) 2012 - 7.5m units sold (PS4 announced, or agreement with MS on a join project) 2013 - 5.0m units sold (PS4 launches, PS3 continues to sell well at $150 or so with decent bit of titles) 2014+ 5.0m units sold - Sony finally calls 8 year PS3 dead. Total sales: 78m units sold. Good vs. Wii/360? Yes. But it crawls to #1 after Wii + Wii 2 have already sold 90m units.
I just don't see that kind of run. The idea of an 8 year run seems to be based on the idea of the systems power. The notion that it's so powerfull that it will continue to push the graphics envelope for some time. But power isn't what keeps a console going, games is. Look at the current/last gen. The xbox was by far the most powerful system, but the PS2 had the market share and the games, which has kept it going along at a steady clip even today. For the PS3 to do those kind of numbers, it would have to keep the third party dev's interested in it specifically. But with the improved 360 sales and the Wiisplosion(I'm trademarking that), it seems unlikely. Edit: "7.5m units sold (PS4 announced, or agreement with MS on a join project)" - Wha!?



I'm a mod, come to me if there's mod'n to do. 

Chrizum is the best thing to happen to the internet, Period.

Serves me right for challenging his sales predictions!

Bet with dsisister44: Red Steel 2 will sell 1 million within it's first 365 days of sales.